The military potential of Azerbaijan is not such that it would enable it to start a war.

Thomas de Waal, a senior associate at the Washington-based Carnegie Endowment, and who specializes primarily in the South Caucasus region, stated the aforementioned at a discussion on Friday.

De Waal stressed that this, first and foremost, is another big risk for the Azerbaijani regime.

He noted that Azerbaijan is using heavy military equipment, and this is very bad and it has a great risk of resumption of war.

The analyst added that the situation in Azerbaijan is becoming more unpredictable due to the falling oil prices, and therefore Azerbaijan’s unlimited wealth is being consumed.

As per Thomas de Waal, there is a peril that both Armenia and Azerbaijan are interested in “playing” the Karabakh playing card and this is also an unpredictable moment.

On September 25, the Azerbaijani armed forces shelled one of the northeastern protection areas of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic (NKR) Defense Army unit. The fire was opened from Turkish-made reactive rocket propelled howitzers (TR-107). Consequently, four NKR Defense Army soldiers died from shrapnel wounds, and there are sixteen wounded military servicemen.