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Carey Cavanaugh, former US Co-Chair of the OSCE Minsk Group (1999-2001), has authored an article entitled “There is no military solution for the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict” for Al-Jazeera.

“Today, Armenia and Azerbaijan stand on the precipice of a dramatic escalation in fighting which will generate even greater human suffering and risks triggering significant military involvement by outside powers,” he stated.

According to Cavanaugh, what has changed in the current round of fighting is that Azerbaijan – with strong backing from Turkey – has moved towards a military solution, resisting calls to end hostilities and return to the negotiating table.

Cavanaugh adds that talking, not fighting, offers the only real opportunity to achieve a lasting settlement.

Three distinct ingredients are required to achieve a negotiated peace between Armenians and Azerbaijanis: a willingness on the part of their leaders to work together towards a compromise solution, international support in the development of such a settlement and its eventual implementation, and the preparation of local populations to embrace that kind of accommodation,” he wrote.

Resolving the dispute over Nagorno-Karabakh will be no easy feat. It will require from Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders the political courage to end hostilities, commit to meaningful, mutually beneficial negotiations and convince their peoples that this approach can provide the peace they so richly deserve,” he concluded.

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