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April 20
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The emotional and aggressive tone of Azerbaijani president Ilham Aliyev in the last days is not typical of a leader of a state that has won a war. Artur Ghazinyan, the chairman of opposition One Armenia party, wrote about this on Facebook.

“By waving his finger irregularly in the air and insulting Armenia and the Armenian people, he inadvertently betrays himself, admits that Azerbaijan did not win this war in the true sense of the word, but, as a result of a special operation called ‘velvet revolution’ [in Armenia], he managed to bring its agents to power in Armenia, who opened the gates of the fortress before him at the right moment.

Now the situation is changing, and Aliyev is in a hurry to record his ‘successes,’ which Aliyev does not succeed in for two reasons.

1. His agency network, headed by [Armenian PM] Nikol Pashinyan, does not control the situation in Armenia, and is losing power;

2. The time is approaching for the fulfillment of [Russian President Vladimir] Putin's promise to [have Azerbaijan] join the Eurasian Union.

With the revelation of Pashinyan's treacherous horrendous plan, it becomes clear that the more than 10,000 casualties and the handover of Artsakh [(Nagorno-Karabakh)] were arranged in advance, which breaks the made-up myth of the Azerbaijani ‘iron arm’ and, on the other hand, makes the return of ex-President] Robert Kocharyan to power in Armenia inevitable. I believe there is no need to present what mental state the person of Kocharyan causes to Aliyev amid the advice passed from father to son.

And even the loud statement about his decision for Azerbaijan to join the Eurasian Union is enough to remind in Azerbaijan—at the British and Turkish recall—that they remember that Azerbaijan actually lost this war, losing Artsakh forever by the stationing of the most combat-ready contingents of the Russian army, which will no longer come out of Artsakh.

One can imagine what will happen to Aliyev's rule and the Azerbaijani state when they will have to withdraw their troops from Shushi and Hadrut.

The only way for Aliyev to prevent—or at least postpone for now—this catastrophe is to extend Pashinyan's rule in Armenia, through whose hands he will have the opportunity to establish a military and diplomatic positional advantage which will be several times more difficult to act against in the future," Ghazinyan added in particular.

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