The record-breaking heatwave that swept through Europe this year will become an average summer by 2035, even if all countries cut their greenhouse gas emissions by as much as they have committed to. CNN writes about this with reference to an analysis conducted by the UK Met Office's Hadley Center commissioned by the country's Climate Crisis Advisory Group (CCAG).
The study showed how quickly temperatures are changing in the region by using historical records of average summer temperatures since 1850 and comparing them to model predictions.
The analysis showed that in the long term, the average summer in Central Europe by 2100 will be more than 4 degrees Celsius hotter than in the pre-industrial era. Scientists now say that all heatwaves bear the marks of anthropogenic climate change, caused mainly by the burning of fossil fuels.
These data serve as an urgent reminder that countries need to go well beyond their nationally determined contributions, which have so far been promised under the Paris Agreement, which aims to limit global warming to below 1.5°C if it is possible, the CCAG said in a statement.