To understand the dynamics of escalating tensions between Ankara and Baku, one must go back to 2009, when Turkey, under pressure from Baku, derailed the normalization of Armenian–Turkish relations. This is how Barçın Yinanç, a columnist for the Turkish website T24, began her article.

The article notes that after successfully derailing the normalization of Armenian–Turkish relations in 2009, Azerbaijan set about gaining influence in Turkey, becoming one of the country's largest foreign investors and even acquiring a news channel.

Addressing the well-known developments that followed the September 21 ban on wearing clothing inconsistent with the principle of secularism in Azerbaijani schools, the article notes that although Ankara is making concessions, dismissing an adviser and arresting people who made anti-Azerbaijani posts, Aliyev is further escalating the situation.

“Aliyev similarly kept escalating the situation during tensions with both Russia and France,” the article states.

According to T24, Turkey must understand that following its victory in the 2020 Karabakh war, Azerbaijan is no longer Turkey's “little brother” but an independent foreign policy actor.

Turning to the opening of the Armenian–Turkish border, the article notes that amid these tensions between Turkey and Azerbaijan, Turkey will not move to open its border with Armenia, as this would further heighten tensions, prompt Azerbaijan to harden its stance toward Armenia and delay important regional projects.