YEREVAN. -- The next escalation will take place this summer at the contact line of the Karabakhi and Azerbaijani armed forces, said the head of the analytical center Modus Vivendi Ara Papian at a press conference on June 1.

According to him it is likely that Azerbaijan will escalate the conflict after Formula 1, especially ahead of the Pope's visit to Armenia. "Now we can see the manifestation of a new phase of the war. Azerbaijan tries to carry out certain actions by small steps. The goal is to involve Armenia into a new phase of the conflict. If we manage to demonstrate it as a great victory, the designed policy will continue," said Papian. The conflict, he said, is no longer around, and it is not for the sake of Karabakh.

"It is a conflict between the Armenians and Turks residing in Azerbaijan. They want to neutralize the Armenian factor,"  said Ara Papian.