Armenian analyst Ruben Safrastyan believes new Middle East and North Africa are being formed at the moment.

Since the beginning of Arab spring, the Middle East and North Africa entered that can be described as a period of changes and chaos,  Safrastyan, director of Armenia Institute of Orientology, said during a press conference on Tuesday.

“But, for already several days, we can observe a new geopolitical stage in the Middle East, the elements that can lay background for the new Middle East. First of all this is referring to the developments over Iraq,” he said.

The second element, the analyst believes, is election of Bashar Assad that proved he is acceptable leader for the majority of Syrian people.

“This proves the Syrian state is a strong country and can resist crisis. The third factor is a protest movement of Libyan military against Islamists.  The fourth element is elections in Egypt,” Safrastyan noted.
 
According to Safrastyans forecasts, Iraq will be divided at least into three parts. Besides, Libya is likely to split into 2-3 states.