MOSCOW. - The Nagorno-Karabakh peace process is likely to enter stagnation stage, Russian political expert Andrei Areshev told Armenian News-NEWS.am.

According to him, it is conditioned by election campaign both in the countries involved in the conflict and the mediating states.

“The election campaign is not the best time for foreign policy processes,” said Areshev.

After a relatively unsuccessful meeting between the presidents of Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia in Kazan, one should not hope for positive development in the foreseeable future.

The expert is skeptic about Azerbaijani side’s calls to draft a peace treaty in the near future.

“If a peace treaty is drafted today, it would most likely contain items and provisions that are unacceptable to one or both sides. The parties have yet to solve several problems before moving to the drafting of a peace treaty,” he said.

The active military buildup is one of the fundamental factors that can transform into negative scenarios, Areshev believes.

“If mediators are really interested in settling the conflict, the parties have to offer new, effective mechanisms. Much is said about the European collective security, and the Karabakh conflict may become a convenient model for working out this system on the regional level,” he concluded.